Polymarket is abuzz with speculation about who President Joe Biden might pardon before the end of his first term, with surprising names and opportunities making headlines.
Polymarket shows Jim Biden, President Biden’s brother, leading the predictions with a 29% probability. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the face of the U.S. COVID-19 response, trails at 21%. Interestingly, figures like former President Donald Trump and cryptocurrency mogul Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) are tied at a low 5% probability, reflecting both the political drama and legal controversies of the past few years. Other notable names on the list include Edward Snowden and Julian Assange, both at 4-5%, showing the ongoing public fascination with whistleblowers and issues of justice.
Source: Polymarket
The diversity of the list – from high-profile politicians like Hillary Clinton (3%) and Liz Cheney (16%) to pop culture icons Diddy at a meager 1% – reflects the broad spectrum of political and cultural discussions surrounding pardons. However, some inclusions, such as Ross Ulbricht (inventor of the Silk Road marketplace), reveal deeper tensions in public debates over criminal justice reform and digital freedoms.
The betting volume – over $7.5 million in total – signals strong interest in this rare presidential power, with the odds offering bettors a chance to weigh the dynamics of power, legacy and redemption in Biden’s final days in office. As the January 2025 deadline approaches, This speculative market is both a fascinating insight into public opinion and a commentary on the evolving political landscape.
